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A Strategy for Israel in the Changed Middle East
by Efraim Halevy
«The options for Israel and the Palestinians basically can be boiled down to these: a permanent agreement, an interim agreement, a de facto interim agreement, and a situation of no agreement. The best possible option — a permanent agreement — is not operable at this time and is the least probable…»
What Are the Palestinians Planning after September?
by Pinhas Inbari
«What the Palestinians really envisage after September is to exploit a UN endorsement of statehood to legitimize an escalation of the conflict. After having the 1967 lines recognized so as to negate the results of the Six-Day War, they plan to seek recognition of the 1947 partition lines…»
A Blast from the Past: The Upcoming Durban III Conference (September 2011)
by Alan Baker
«A further attempt to re-legitimize Durban will take the form of a ten-year anniversary commemoration of the Durban conference at the UN in New York on 22 September 2011.
This event will coincide with the Palestinian attempt to have the UN recognize and accept a unilateral declaration of a Palestinian state, in violation of the peace negotiation process. This juncture of events confirms and endorses the interconnection between the Durban process and the ongoing international campaign to delegitimize Israel…»
Read more:http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=8243&TTL=A_Blast_from_the_Past:_The_Upcoming_Durban_III_Conference_(September_2011)
Hizbullah’s Predicament in Light of Syria’s Decline
by Shimon Shapira
«Five years after the Second Lebanon War, a war whose results Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah considers a «divine victory,» Hizbullah has currently reached one of its lowest points due to the endangered survival of the Assad regime in Syria, as well as the international tribunal that has demanded the extradition of four Hizbullah members suspected of murdering former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri…»
The Syrian Uprising: Implications for Israel
by Eyal Zisser
«In Syria, the story is the emergence of social groups from the periphery and their struggle to gain access to power and take over the center. The emergence of the Baath party and the Assad dynasty in the 1960s involved a coalition of peripheral forces led by the Alawites, but many others joined who came from the periphery. Now, because of socioeconomic reasons, the periphery has turned against the regime…»
The UN General Assembly Cannot Establish a Palestinian State
The public debate in Israel over the Palestinian plan to seek UN support for statehood in September is based on a fundamental misconception: that the UN General Assembly can decide about the existence of new states. Contrary to widespread beliefs, it was not the UN General Assembly that formally established the State of Israel. UN General Assembly Resolution 181, also known as the Partition Plan, from November 29, 1947, only recommended the establishment of a Jewish state. It was an important moral boost for the Jewish people. But the actual legal basis for the creation of the State of Israel was the declaration of independence by David Ben-Gurion on May 14, 1948…
Palestinian Leaders Say the Peace Process Is Over
The international community has recently witnessed a series of widely publicized and authoritative declarations voiced by Palestinian leaders, according to which «the current peace process as it has been conducted so far is over» (Palestinian Authority Foreign Minister Riad Malki, March 22, 2011), and «the Palestinian leadership institutions (PLO and Fatah) have decided to submit a request to the UN for recognition of a Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, with its capital in East Jerusalem» (Sa’eb Erekat — AFP, March 20, 2011).
These declarations join an earlier plan by Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Salam Fayyad, announced in August 2009, to unilaterally declare a Palestinian state upon completion of the preparations for Palestinian governing institutions by September 2011…
What Other Surprises Are the Palestinians Preparing for Israel?
May 15, 2011, might become a turning point in the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
One of the main components of Israel’s security is the deterrence factor Israel projects towards its enemies, a factor that has successfully stopped the Arab armies and a plethora of terrorist organizations from initiating an overt war with Israel.
Israel’s deterrence was first rattled in the Yom Kippur War in October 1973 when Israel was taken by surprise by a joint Syrian-Egyptian offensive on its borders. The deterrence factor did not stop the Arab armies from attempting to subdue militarily Israel. Although aware of Israel’s power, Sadat and Assad were ready to sacrifice thousands of lives in order to overcome the temporary borders Israel had established after its victory in the June 1967 Six-Day War in order to reach their political goals…
The Reconciliation Agreement between Fatah and Hamas – An Initial Evaluation
The reconciliation agreement signed by Fatah and Hamas is the old “Egyptian paper” with a protocol that added Hamas’ reservations.
It marks an outstanding political achievement for Mahmoud Abbas. He well understands that Europe is eager to have a Palestinian state materialize, and any indication of the viability of that vision may encourage Europe to support the planned UN vote in support of a Palestinian state in September. In fact, major European parties such as Spain, Britain and France have encouraged the PA to follow the track of a unilateral declaration of statehood.
U.S. President Barack Obama is an enthusiastic supporter of Palestinian statehood, but because he lost the majority in the pro-Israel House of Representatives, he cannot pressure Israel in the open. So he exerts pressure through the Europeans…
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Real interviews at the 2011 J Street Conference:
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