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Lebanon

«Мир Галилее» (» שלום הגליל «)

К 30-летию с начала операции.

Фильм о Первой Ливанской войне: >>>>>>

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Редкие фото из архива YNET:

Шарон в Бофоре:

צילום: ארכיון צה"ל ומערכת הביטחון

Высадка с моря:

צילום: לע"מ

Рафуль и генерал Йонa Эфрати

הרמטכ"ל איתן בביקור כוחות בשטח לצד האלוף יונה אפרת, שגויס למילואים לשמש כעוזרו - ובהמשך היה חבר בוועדת כהן שחקרה את הטבח בסברה ושתילה (צילום: במחנה)

Шарон:

שר הביטחון שרון עם לוחמים (צילום: משרד הביטחון)

Йорам Яир («Йа-йа») :

מפקד חטיבה 35 יורם יאיר (יה יה) מתדרך לוחמים (מיקי צרפתי, במחנה)

Амир Дрори — командующий Северным округом:

אלוף פיקוד צפון אמיר דרורי (צילום: מיקי צרפתי, במחנה)

Меир Даган (в центре):

מחייכים למצלמה: תא"ל יוסי בן חנן, אל"מ מאיר דגן. מימין - אלוף עמוס ירון

«Гашашим»:

הגששים גברי בנאי (מימין) ושייקה לוי (משמאל) כצוות בידור בגזרה המזרחית

Генерал Екутиэль(Кути) Адам, незадолго до гибели:

אלוף יקותיאל (קותי) אדם, לפני שנהרג ביום הרביעי למלחמה (צילום: במחנה)

Рафуль:

הוא ראה איך זה ייגמר? הרמטכ"ל איתן צופה במשקפת (צילום: במחנה)

Рафуль и Башир Джумайль:

הרמטכ"ל איתן נפגש עם מנהיגי הנוצרים ולוחץ יד לבאשיר ג'ומייל, שמונה לנשיא ונרצח (צילום: במחנה)

Дорон Альмог:

סא"ל דורון אלמוג, שהוביל את יחידות הצנחנים תחת השם "כוח עוגן", מהנחיתה בשפך נהר האוואלי ועד ביירות (צילום: במחנה)

Нир Баракат:

סגן ניר ברקת, קצין בגדוד 890 בחטיבה 35 - והיום ראש העיר ירושלים - מביט במפה ומשנן תוכניות (צילום: במחנה)

Имануэль Розен и генерал Авраам(«Абраша») Тамир:

עמנואל רוזן, אז כתב "במחנה", והאלוף אברהם (אברשה) טמיר (צילום: במחנה)

Йоси Бен-Ханан и Аарон Ярив:

תא"ל יוסי בן חנן ואלוף (מיל') אהרון יריב על ציר החוף בדרום לבנון (צילום: במחנה)

Перед десантом в устье реки Авали:

לוחמי חיל הים וכוח חטיבת צנחנים בהפלגה מאשדוד לצידון, לפני הנחיתה ליד שפך נהר האוואלי (צילום: במחנה)

Бегин в Бофоре

גם ראש הממשלה בגין בא להתרשם מהמבצר שנכבש (צילום: דובר צה"ל)

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Changed Middle East — days before September 2011

A Strategy for Israel in the Changed Middle East
by Efraim Halevy

«The options for Israel and the Palestinians basically can be boiled down to these: a permanent agreement, an interim agreement, a de facto interim agreement, and a situation of no agreement. The best possible option — a permanent agreement — is not operable at this time and is the least probable…»

Read more : http://jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=8073&TTL=A_Strategy_for_Israel_in_the_Changed_Middle_East

What Are the Palestinians Planning after September?
by Pinhas Inbari

«What the Palestinians really envisage after September is to exploit a UN endorsement of statehood to legitimize an escalation of the conflict. After having the 1967 lines recognized so as to negate the results of the Six-Day War, they plan to seek recognition of the 1947 partition lines…»

Read more: http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=7797&TTL=What_Are_the_Palestinians_Planning_after_September?

A Blast from the Past: The Upcoming Durban III Conference (September 2011)
by Alan Baker

«A further attempt to re-legitimize Durban will take the form of a ten-year anniversary commemoration of the Durban conference at the UN in New York on 22 September 2011.
This event will coincide with the Palestinian attempt to have the UN recognize and accept a unilateral declaration of a Palestinian state, in violation of the peace negotiation process. This juncture of events confirms and endorses the interconnection between the Durban process and the ongoing international campaign to delegitimize Israel…»

Read more:http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=8243&TTL=A_Blast_from_the_Past:_The_Upcoming_Durban_III_Conference_(September_2011)
Hizbullah’s Predicament in Light of Syria’s Decline
by Shimon Shapira

«Five years after the Second Lebanon War, a war whose results Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah considers a «divine victory,» Hizbullah has currently reached one of its lowest points due to the endangered survival of the Assad regime in Syria, as well as the international tribunal that has demanded the extradition of four Hizbullah members suspected of murdering former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri…»

Read more:http://jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=8058&TTL=Hizbullah’s_Predicament_in_Light_of_Syria’s_Decline

The Syrian Uprising: Implications for Israel
by Eyal Zisser

«In Syria, the story is the emergence of social groups from the periphery and their struggle to gain access to power and take over the center. The emergence of the Baath party and the Assad dynasty in the 1960s involved a coalition of peripheral forces led by the Alawites, but many others joined who came from the periphery. Now, because of socioeconomic reasons, the periphery has turned against the regime…»

Read more: http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=8154&TTL=The_Syrian_Uprising:_Implications_for_Israel

«Two-State Solution Will Lead to the Collapse of Israel»

Toward a Radicalism ?

Democracy does not seem to be closer in Tunisia today than it was four months ago, since the beginning of the so-called “Jasmine Revolution.” Instead it seems that Tunisia is in a stalemate, caught in moving sands, unable to stabilize and consolidate the domestic political scene.

Rather than advancing, it looks as if Tunisia has made a great leap backwards: Democracy has not eased the economic situation. The majority of the 350,000 employees in the tourism sector are unemployed, 25% of the main hotels are in a state of bankruptcy, while 80% of them are still closed. TunisAir, whose flights were cancelled, is being paid by the government for the lost seats in order to survive the absence of tourists. Supermarkets are still attacked and looted. Anarchy is such that the transitional government has reinstalled the notorious night curfew in Tunis as if former President Ben-Ali was still in power. Tanks and armored cars are still on the streets of Tunis.  Moreover,Tunisia is in an open conflict with Libya, which has tried several times to attack Tunisian units deployed on their common borders. Last but not least,Tunisia has had three transitional governments since the Jasmine revolution and instability still prevails.

 

Read more>>>

 

The Rafah border crossing connecting Gaza with Egypt was officially opened on May 28, 2011, by the Egyptian authorities and the Hamas government. The Egyptian news agency MENA reported that the crossing will be open six days a week, excluding Fridays and holidays, as part of Egyptian efforts to bring the internal Palestinian split to an end and to promote national reconciliation.

Gaza residents will now enjoy simplified procedures while crossing the border in both directions at Rafah and at all other border crossings in Egypt. Palestinians are no longer required to apply for a visa to enter Egypt, although a visa valid for at least six months is needed if a Palestinian is travelling through Egypt to a third country. According to the Egyptian announcement, the new procedures will apply to men under the age of 18 or above 40, students at Egyptian universities, patients who come for medical treatment, and children joining their parents.

 

Read more >>>

 

The reality that confronts Lebanon today raises hidden fears of Shi’ite domination and the transformation of Lebanon into a radical factor in the Middle East, aligned with Syria and Iran. That explains why Mikati sought in an interview with AFP to reassure the world and the Lebanese that “the fact that Hizbullah and its allies have 18 seats in the 30-member cabinet does not mean that the country will join the radical camp in terms of its relations with the international community.” Mikati was also quick to reiterate that his government will respect Lebanon’s international commitments, a reference to the International Tribunal investigation over the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, whose conclusions might point at some Syrian-backed Hizbullah operatives who were involved in the assassination plot.

 

Read more >>>

 

 

No wars, more terrorism

by Ron Ben-Yishai

Part 1 of analysis:

No dramatic changes are expected in our security situation next year. A war will not break out, and a major military confrontation will likely not take place. For the time being, all the main players in the region that may ignite a major flare-up have a strong interest in maintaining restraint and avoiding confrontation.

Yet this doesn’t mean there is no cause for concern. Fuel vapors are still in the air, as well as enough sparks that may ignite them. The constant tensions in the Lebanon and Gaza theaters may cause occasional flare-ups, despite the desire on both sides to avoid them. This was the case this past year, and this will likely be the case in the coming year…

read more: http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3951560,00.html


Part 2 of analysis:

In addition to the military buildup, preparations, and intelligence-gathering ahead of a defensive and offensive effort in the face of the Iranian threat, the IDF will focus on boosting its readiness and capabilities vis-à-vis the missile and rocket threat in closer theaters.

On the intelligence front, three issues will be emphasized: Identifying targets in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza for the benefit of the Air Force, as well as ground and naval forces; monitoring the military buildup of Hezbollah, Hamas, and Syria – to ensure they are not receiving and deploying “balance-breaking” weapon systems such as advanced anti-aircraft missiles, surface-to-surface missiles, and advanced rockets (made by Russia or Iran,) and so on; and identifying Hezbollah and Hamas tunnels, arms depots, and fortifications in the heart of civilian areas (information that will also be used in the diplomatic-PR campaign.)

read more: http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3951653,00.html

«Four sins of Damascus are unforgivable»

Syria foments war, creates the Syria-Lebanon-Iran-Turkey anti-Israel axis, and is rewarded for these efforts by those among us who are willing to give her the Golan Heights. But»the four sins of Damascus are unforgivable» said the prophet Amos (1,3)

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/9629

The demolition of an Arab-owned illegal building in Jerusalem is, for most of these correspondents, much more important than the fact that hundreds of thousands of Palestinians in Lebanon continue to suffer from a series of humiliating restrictions.

Подробности охоты на Насраллу.

Репортаж 2-го канала, иврит

Сообщается, что за последние несколько месяцев главарь Хизбаллы дважды был «на мушке» у ЦАХАЛа.
В первом случае решено было не спускать курок из-за нахождения на месте, второй раз сломался один из беспилотников, принимавших участие в операции.

Подробно на иврите:

http://www.mako.co.il/news-military/security/Article-3548def41520921004.htm

http://ivarfjeld.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/naderian20090108212537156.jpg

Anatomy of withdrawal ( הביזיון המתוקשר שעלה לנו ביוקר )

Ron Ben-Yishai analyzes events leading up to Israeli withdrawal from south Lebanon

To this day, I cringe with shame when I recall that night in May 2000. I cannot forget the Armored Corps soldier screaming into his cell phone: “Mom, I’m out.” I can’t forget the regional commander locking up the Good Fence gate behind him with a frozen expression; I can’t forget Four Mothers group members celebrating their political victory in a press conference (an odd one, to say the least) with the army chief and Northern Command head…

צילום: AFP

…a solution to the Lebanese problem cannot be found in Baalbek, in Beirut, or in Hezbollah’s fear of other ethnic groups in Lebanon. The root of the Lebanese problem is in Damascus and Tehran, and this is where Israel should be seeking a solution, with American help. If possible, this should be done via the combination of military deterrence and effective international pressure. Yet should this fail, the other option is a well-planned military campaign, which will be launched before the rockets start to explode in our territory.

Part 1 >>>

Part 2 >>>

...הפיתרון לבעיה הלבנונית אינו מצוי בבעל בק, גם לא בביירות ואף לא בחשש של חיזבאללה מפני העדות האחרות בלבנון. שורש הבעיה הלבנונית מצוי בדמשק ובטהרן, ושם צריכה ישראל לחפש אותו בעזרת ארה»ב: אם אפשר — באמצעות שילוב בין הרתעה צבאית ללחץ בינלאומי אפקטיבי; אם זה ייכשל — באמצעות מערכה צבאית התקפית מתוכננת ומתורגלת היטב, שתונחת קודם שהרקטות יתחילו להתפוצץ בשטחנו.

http://www.ynet.co.il/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3892510,00.html

Remains of israeli tank «Merkavah» in Hezbullah’s «Victory museum».

Бофор, 1998 ( תמונות נדירות מהבופור )

מוצב הבופור היה לאחד הסמלים הגדולים של החברה הישראלית. על החיים שם נכתב ספר מצליח וסרט שובר קופות. תמונות שצילמו החיילים ששירתו בו חושפות את השגרה שלהם במוצב. למרבה הצער אחד החיילים שמתועדים שם, סמל משה ביטון, נהרג בדרכו למוצב…

http://www.mako.co.il/news-military/security/Article-1863e2a76b7a821004.htm

https://i2.wp.com/upload.kipa.co.il/magazine/1/bufur3115930146482007.JPG

Region on Verge of Explosion…

Gemayel: Region on Verge of Explosion, Hizbullah Should Be More Humble

Phalange Party leader Amin Gemayel said the region is on the verge of explosion and urged Hizbullah to be more humble.

«The regional situation is either dragging us into a mess, and this means more trouble for Lebanon, or is on the verge of an explosion, meaning Lebanon will not be spared,» Gemayel said in an interview published Friday by pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat.
«We should avoid igniting a regional war,» Gemayel warned, pointing to three crises with an impact on Lebanon – Israel’s stubbornness and hostility towards Arabs and Palestinians, the difficulty facing the new Iraqi regime against terror and the Iranian nuclear issue.

He called on Hizbullah to be «more humble» and to take into account the concerns of the vast majority of Lebanese in terms of usage of weapons.

Gemayel said «some» aspects of the political leanings that emerged in 2005 no longer exist, pointing to Druze leader Walid Jumblat who quit the March 14 alliance and to dispute over Article 6 of the ministerial statement which is related to Hizbullah arms and relations with Syria.

http://www.naharnet.com/domino/tn/NewsDesk.nsf/0/D779D998B7DA1B43C2257722003688D4?OpenDocument

Hizballah Prepares for the Next War

… Whether these rugged hills will see yet another war depends less on the likely combatants than on the U.S. and Iran. Hizballah is viewed as one component of Iran’s deterrence against a possible attack on its nuclear sites, should diplomatic efforts fail to resolve the standoff with the West over its enrichment of uranium. And recent conversations with Hizballah fighters reveal an organization at the peak of its military powers, with an army of well-trained, disciplined and highly motivated combatants wielding advanced weaponry, cultivating new tactics and brimming with confidence.
«The next war is coming, 100%, but we don’t know when,» says Ali, a thickly muscled university student. «We have big plans for it. God willing, you will see the end of Israel.» …


http://www.time.com/time/printout/0,8816,1988131,00.html

Former US General Warns of Chemical Attacks Against Israel

Potential Hezbollah offensive includes chemically armed SCUD missiles with a 450 km range, preemptive strikes on air fields, and a wave of tunnel attacks that cross from Lebanon into Israel.

צוללת רוסית פרקה בנמל לבנוני נשק כימי ומסכות גז אירנים

זהו רק אחד מעיקרי דבריו של גנרל אמריקאי בדימוס,פאול ואלאלי,בראיון לתחנת טלויזיה בלוס אנג’לס.
כשנשאל הגנרל האמריקאי מה המקורות עליו הוא מסתמך הוא אומר שאלו ידיעות שהגיעו לאמריקאים מביירות.

הראיון רצוף בידיעות ראשוניות מדהימות בחשיבותם.
עוד מוסיף הגנרל כי עפ»י ידיעות שהגיעו לארה»ב אירן מתכננת מכה מקדימה נגד מכה מקדימה ישראלית שיכלול גם נשק לא קונבנציונלי.לא הככונה לנשק גרעיני כי אם לראשי חץ מכילי גז שיורכבו על הטילים הכבדים הנמצאים כבר בידי החיזבאללה ואשר נתקבלו מאירן דרך סוריה.טווח הטילים בעלי ראשי קרב המכילים חל»כ הינו כ-450 ק»מ או במילים אחרות מכסה כ-90 אחוז מהישוב היהודי החי בציון.
בקשר לטילי הסקאד הסורים הוא מציין שחלק מטילים אלו הועברו לאתרי שיגור בדרום לבנון ויש בידו אף תמונות של אתרים אלו.
הוא מדבר גם על תעלות רבות שנחפרו מדרום לבנון לתוך שטח ישראל שדרכם יועברו אלפי לוחמי חיזבאללה,גברים ונשים,לצפון ישראל למטרות הפחדה והטלת מהומה בתוך ישראל.
יש לארה»ב תמונות שצולמו מהקרקע של אתרי השיגור אליהם הובאו טילי הסקאד הסורים.
חלוקת מסכות הגז לאזרחים הם חלק מההערכה הישראלית שיעשה שימוש בנשק כימי בעימות אפשרי עם החיזבאללה.
(NZIV from Rotter.net)

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Тема: Baskerville, автор: Anders Noren.

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